Who will win the Rugby World Cup?

Written by Niven Winchester on . Posted in Sports

As Yogi Berra, once said: ‘It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future’. Like most future events, it is impossible to know for certain who will win the 2015 Rugby World Cup, but we can estimate probabilities of various outcomes occurring. We do this by building a rating system for international rugby matches and using these ratings to estimate expected score margins (like who will win and by how much.) We can then characterize uncertainty around these predictions.

How do you measure disaster risk?

Written by Julia Hall on . Posted in Environment & Nature

In September this year, the UN’s Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) will come to an end and a new set, running from 2015 to 2030, will be the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The MDGs included goals of eradicating extreme poverty and achieving universal primary education. Each goal had underlying numerical, and most importantly, measurable targets. But there was no target on the impact of disasters in the MDGs.

How to identify goal scoring ability in football

Written by Ian McHale & Łukasz Szczepański on . Posted in Sports

The transfer market in football is a strange beast. For anyone who doesn't know how it works, clubs are allowed to buy and sell players during two windows each year: one during January (a maximum of four weeks long during the playing season) and another during the summer (approximately from June to the first few days in September, this time with a maximum length of 12 weeks).


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