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Better league tables during the football season

 
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RSS local group meetings

Thursday 14 December 2017, 02:00pm

 
Location KS16, Keynes College, University of Kent, Canterbury

Speaker: David Firth (University of Warwick and the Alan Turing Institute) 

A specialized extension of the Zermelo-Bradley-Terry model is developed for balanced round-robin leagues with simple win-draw-loss points systems such as the 3-1-0 system used in association football.  The model allows schedule-strength differences to be eliminated coherently, to produce fully "retrodictive" match-by-match league standings that are more informative than the usual published league table (i.e., the one based on accumulated points to date). This alternative type of league table has a straightforward interpretation in terms of adjusted points totals.  Furthermore, this new method of obtaining a league table is shown to be "best" under some simple axioms. In this talk I will illustrate the method and its results by looking at the Premier League table (for which, see alt-3.uk for the current league standings).

 

Organiser Name Silvia Montagna

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Organising Group(s) RSS East Kent Local Group