Capping of incidents of crime within the Crime Survey for England & Wales – Review of the methodology for addressing high frequency repeat victimisation in estimates

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Official Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section

Wednesday 09 November 2016, 05:00pm - 07:00pm

Location Royal Statistical Society, 12 Errol Street, London EC1Y 8LX

A joint meeting of the Official Statistics and Social Statistics Sections will take place on 9th November 2016 at 5pm-7pm. 

The Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) measures both the number of victims of crime in the population and the total number of incidents of crime experienced by these victims. Estimation of the total number of incidents is complex due to some victims experiencing multiple incidents of the same type of crime. For certain crime types, such as violence in a domestic setting, a victim may suffer such repeat victimisation at a frequency that is difficult to quantify over a 12 month period, and hence there is substantial potential for measurement error and large sample variability from year to year. For this reason, the CSEW has always only included the first five incidents of repeat victimisation within the estimate of the total number of incidents of crime in the population. Following criticism of this “capping” methodology for failing to adequately handle the very real occurrence of repeat victimisation, ONS commissioned an independent review of the current and alternative methods, and launched a consultation (6 July to 13 September 2015) to seek user feedback on the recommendations of the review (for further details see the consultation document).

Presentations by Emma Wright (Office for National Statistics) and Joel Williams (TNS-BMRB) will outline the findings and recommendations of the methodology review, the results of the user consultation, and how ONS plan to take this work forward.

Discussants:  Brian Francis (University of Lancaster), Mike Hough (Birkbeck College, London) and Jouni Kuha (London School of Economics).

Yesterday the ONS published their response to a recent consultation they held on this topic. Please visit this link for more details.

This event is free and open to all, whether fellows of the RSS or not, but pre-registration is required.

For further information about the meeting contact This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. or This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Organiser Name Daria Gromyko

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Organising Group(s) RSS Official Statistics & Social Statistics Sections





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