Extreme Value Theory: An Impact Case Study for International Shipping Standards

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RSS Webinar Series

Wednesday 08 February 2017, 01:30pm - 02:30pm

Location online

Speaker: Professor Jonathan Tawn, Lancaster University

Research on extreme value methods proved critical in determining the conclusions of the UK High Court’s investigation of the sinking of the M.V. Derbyshire (the UK’s largest ship lost at sea) and identified that design standards for hatch covers of ocean-going carriers needed to be increased by 35%. This new level was then set as a new worldwide mandatory standard.

This talk describes my involvement in this work starting with the estimation of the probability of the M.V. Derbyshire having sunk from a structural failure, resulting from large wave impacts on the ship, for each of a range of possible sea-state and vessel conditions; through experiences of presenting evidence to the High Court; and subsequent work aimed at setting new design standards for ocean-going carriers.

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Please note this meeting will be followed at 2:45pm by the Annual General Meeting of the RSS Northern Ireland Local Group - this will take place in the Peter Froggatt Centre, Room 02.025, Queen's University Belfast.

New members ifo the RSSNI Local Group Committee need to be elected. RSS Fellows interested in joining the Committee should attend the AGM in the Peter Froggatt Centre. We would like to encourage the widest possible participation.

Organiser Name Karen Cairns

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Organising Group(s) RSS Northern Ireland local group





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