On 11 October 2018, the RSS Glasgow local group hosted a joint event with the RSS International Development Section, welcoming speakers Kim Bradford Smith, head of advisory team at DFID Syria from the UK Department for International Development and Dr Hannah Worthington, a lecturer in statistics at the University of St Andrews. We were joined by an audience of 50 people.
Kim’s presentation gave an overview of the 17 Sustainable Development Goals, an account of the UK’s Leave No One Behind promise and covered the challenges of the Data Disaggregation Action Plan. We learned of the P20 Initiative which tracks the progress of the poorest 20% of people to find out if their lives are changing for the better. Kim conveyed what DFID are doing to help and genuinely focus on those across the globe who, by reasons of their identity (age, disability, belief, ethnicity, sexual orientation), are most vulnerable to poverty or exclusion.
Hannah presented on capture-recapture multiple-cohort stopover modelling of recruitment of grey seals to the breeding population on the Isle of May off the east coast of Scotland and estimating numbers of injecting drug users from incomplete contingency tables of different data sources. The grey seals work is motivated by the desire to understand the apparent delay in first-time breeding. For the injecting drug users quantification, four databases were available and preliminary findings suggest that the number not captured could be as much as six times those captured.
The discussions touched on themes spanning inequalities in countries across the income spectrum, cross-sectoral partnership working with charities, business and academia, and refinement of capture-recapture modelling.